Trust surface

Source quality

Citation-readiness for every source Warconomy cites: authority, citation role, readiness (high/medium/low), how directly it backs a maintained value, and its limitations. A trust surface, not a correctness claim.

Warconomy derives a citation-readiness label for every source from its authority (official, intergovernmental, research, industry), its citation role (source of record, supporting context, unused), how directly it backs a live observation, and its review metadata. Readiness explains why a source is trusted and how strong its link to a maintained value is — it is not a claim that any value is correct. Everything here is computed deterministically from the source fields and their usage; no manual scores.

  • 34 sources: 21 high, 9 medium, 4 low readiness.
  • 29 official/international, 5 research; 24 are source-of-record for a live value.
  • Readiness explains why a source is trusted — it is not a correctness claim.

Readiness at a glance

Sources34
High readiness21
Medium readiness9
Low readiness4
Official / international29
Source of record (live)24

Breakdowns

By readiness

  • High: 21
  • Medium: 9
  • Low: 4

By authority

  • Official: 18
  • Academic / research: 5
  • International institution: 11

By citation role

  • supporting context: 8
  • source of record: 24
  • unused: 2

24 sources are source-of-record for a live value; 5 are research estimates; 2 are not currently used in a live value. Machine: source-quality.json.

Readiness matrices

How citation readiness cross-tabs against source authority and the categories each source backs (a source can span several categories).

Authority × readiness

AuthorityHighMediumLow
Official1620
Academic / research032
International institution542

Category × readiness

CategoryHighMediumLow
Conflicts231
Chokepoints440
Commodities300
Dashboards221
Sanctions1130

10 sources back no live observation; 8 back only sample rows. Turn these into actions on the review-actions page, or see the source health checklist.

Sources by citation readiness

SourceAuthorityRoleReadinessLiveFactsReview
EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook — energy security / maritime oil chokepointsOfficialsource of recordhigh readiness104stale
FAO — Food Price Index (monthly)International institutionsource of recordhigh readiness71current
EIA — Henry Hub Natural Gas Spot Price (monthly)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness21due-soon
EIA — Spot Prices for Crude Oil (Brent & WTI)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness21current
Panama Canal Authority — FY2024 financial and traffic resultsOfficialsource of recordhigh readiness22current
UNCTAD — Navigating troubled waters (Red Sea / Suez rapid assessment)International institutionsource of recordhigh readiness20stale
Council of the EU — Russia's war against Ukraine: EU sanctions (immobilised assets)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness11due-soon
European Commission — Common High Priority Items list (with the US, UK and Japan)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness11stale
European Commission — 20th sanctions package (military-industrial & circumvention listings)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness12current
European Commission — Dynamic mechanism lowers the Russian crude oil price cap to US$44.10/bblOfficialsource of recordhigh readiness11due-soon
European Commission — EU's €18.1 billion contribution to the G7 ERA loans (first €3 billion tranche)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness11stale
European Commission — Roadmap to fully end EU dependency on Russian energy (REPowerEU)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness11due-soon
European Commission — EU sanctions against Russia: energy (oil price cap)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness11stale
EIA — Europe Brent Spot Price FOB (monthly)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness10current
European Commission / Council of the EU — 20th sanctions package (shadow-fleet vessel listings)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness11current
IMF PortWatch — Red Sea Attacks Disrupt Global TradeInternational institutionsource of recordhigh readiness11stale
NATO — Defence expenditure of NATO countriesInternational institutionsource of recordhigh readiness10current
U.S. Department of the Treasury — Disbursement of $20 billion ERA loan to benefit UkraineOfficialsource of recordhigh readiness11stale
U.S. Department of the Treasury — January 2025 action on Russian oil shipping (shadow-fleet vessels)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness10stale
U.S. Department of the Treasury — Price cap on Russian oil (US$60/bbl crude)Officialsource of recordhigh readiness11stale
Ukraine — Fourth Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA4)International institutionsource of recordhigh readiness11due-soon
SIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2025Academic / researchsource of recordmedium readiness123current
CREA — Monthly analysis of Russian fossil fuel exports and sanctionsAcademic / researchsource of recordmedium readiness10due-soon
CREA — Shedding light on shadow tankersAcademic / researchsource of recordmedium readiness11stale
U.S. Energy Information AdministrationOfficialsupporting contextmedium readiness02
Food and Agriculture OrganizationInternational institutionsupporting contextmedium readiness01
International Energy AgencyInternational institutionsupporting contextmedium readiness02
Suez Canal Authority — Navigation statisticsOfficialsupporting contextmedium readiness01
UN Conference on Trade and DevelopmentInternational institutionsupporting contextmedium readiness03
UNCTAD — Review of Maritime Transport 2024International institutionsupporting contextmedium readiness01
International Monetary FundInternational institutionunusedlow readiness00
Kiel Institute for the World EconomyAcademic / researchsupporting contextlow readiness01
SIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2024Academic / researchsupporting contextlow readiness01
World BankInternational institutionunusedlow readiness00

How readiness is derived

  • High — an official/international publisher backing a live observation via a deep link, manually reviewed.
  • Medium — authoritative research backing a live value, or an official source backing facts/observations less directly.
  • Low — unused in a live value, or weaker authority/linking.
  • Limitations (e.g. annual lag, research methodology, not legal advice) are derived from each source’s type, cadence, and tags.

Frequently asked questions

What does source readiness mean?
It is a derived label (high/medium/low) describing how directly a source backs a maintained value — based on authority, citation role, deep-linking, and review metadata. It explains why a source is trusted, not whether a value is correct.
How is readiness scored?
Deterministically from each source's type, cadence, URL, and how it is used (live observations vs facts). There are no manual scores. Official publishers backing a live deep-linked value rank highest.

Key terms

  • Source qualityWarconomy's derived view of a source's citation-readiness — authority, role, and how directly it backs a maintained value. Surfaced on the /source-quality dashboard.
  • Source of recordThe authoritative publisher Warconomy treats as definitive for a value — typically an official or intergovernmental body. News summaries and inaccessible charts are not used as the source of record.
  • Citation readinessA derived label (high / medium / low) describing how directly a source backs a maintained value, based on its authority, role, and deep-linking. It explains why a source is trusted, not whether a value is correct.

Related Warconomy pages

Cite this page

Warconomy, “Source quality, reviewed as of June 5, 2026. https://warconomy.com/source-quality.

Machine-readable: the JSON dataset and source registry. More citation formats on the citation catalog. Values are source-linked and manually maintained; not real-time.

Related trust surfaces

See the review actions checklist, the source registry, data coverage, data review, and the methodology.