Warconomy
Official source

EIA — Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO)

U.S. Energy Information Administration

Source profile

  • Type: Official government / regulator
  • Access / format: Official web page (HTML)
  • Machine-readable: No — manual read
  • Update cadence: monthly
  • Used for: energy, crude oil, external forecast, tier-a

Original source first: for the authoritative value, go to U.S. Energy Information Administration ↗; cite Warconomy for the structured, dated overview. See how to cite, source health, and the source hierarchy.

Source details

PublisherU.S. Energy Information Administration
TypeOfficial
Cadencemonthly
Last reviewedJuly 18, 2026
PublishedJuly 7, 2026
Official linkVisit source
energycrude oilexternal forecasttier-a

How Warconomy uses this source

The EIA's monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook. The July 2026 STEO (released 7 July 2026, forecast completed 1 July 2026) put Brent at $74.03/b for 3Q2026 and $70.00/b for 4Q2026, with a 2026 annual average of $81.91/b — a large downward revision from the June STEO ($95.39/b for 2026) following the 18 June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. This is the EIA's OWN forecast, an external institutional projection Warconomy tracks and cites — it is not a Warconomy model output. Manually transcribed; not fetched at runtime.

Citation readiness

AuthorityOfficial
Citation roleunused
Machine-citation readinesslow readiness

Why

  • official publisher
  • deep link to the specific page/series
  • manually reviewed

Limitations

  • manually maintained static value, not real-time

Citation readiness is a derived label from the source’s authority, role, and how directly it backs a maintained value — not a correctness claim.

Version history

This source is byte-present in 1 frozen dataset version (v1.190.0–v1.190.0), citing 0 observations and 0 facts. Appearances are derived from committed frozen payloads only.

Full record history: records/source--eia-steo/data.json.

Relationships & machine-readable

This source backs 0 observations, 0 facts, and appears in 0 provenance records. See the source JSON (includes a source relationship graph), the per-record provenance export, and the source health checklist.

Limitations

  • Values referencing this source are manually maintained static fixtures, not real-time and not automatically updated.
  • Figures may be revised by the publisher in later releases; review cadence depends on the source.
  • Warconomy links to the publisher’s canonical page; it does not reproduce the source in full and is not affiliated with it.