Warconomy explains, in plain English and backed by cited public data, how wars and sanctions reach the prices of oil, gas, food, fertilizer, metals and shipping — and from there your fuel, groceries, deliveries, job and taxes. It is a sourced, citation-safe reference, not live market data, investment advice, or a forecast. Pick what you care about below, try an interactive tool, or take the researcher path.
- Pick a topic you care about and follow its everyday pathway.
- Try an interactive tool — a what-if scenario, a chart, or the conflict map.
- Tell apart current signals, historical data, and educational scenarios.
- Researchers and AI search: jump to the dataset, sources and methodology.
Pick what you care about
At the gas pumpHigher crude can feed into petrol and diesel, though taxes, refining and local margins matter as much.See the pathway →At the grocery storeImport-dependent countries and lower-income households tend to feel food shocks first.See the pathway →In shipping & deliveryLonger routes mean higher fuel and charter costs and slower delivery of goods.See the pathway →In electronics & batteriesCobalt, copper, and chips run through a few regions, so disruption there has global reach.See the pathway →In jobs & migrationOrigin economies can lose skills for a generation; host economies can gain workers but face pressures.See the pathway →In taxes & public budgetsHigher defense spending competes with other priorities unless growth or borrowing covers it.See the pathway →The human cost & long-term scarringCaring for wounded veterans and the bereaved is first a duty, and also a long-term cost.See the pathway →
Try an interactive tool
InteractiveScenario LabMove a slider to see how an oil, food, labour or defense shock could ripple. Scenarios, not forecasts.→InteractiveCommodity ExplorerCompare oil, gas, grains, fertilizer and metals over decades, with event markers.→InteractiveConflict MapAn interactive map of the world's conflict economies and the channels for each region.→InteractiveWar & GDPHow output moved around the onset of past wars — a historical comparison, not a prediction.→
Current vs historical vs scenario
- Historical official data — annual macro and monthly commodity figures (World Bank, FAO). Accurate but lagged: a page marked "annual" or "monthly" is current for that release.
- Current signals — the watchlist: what to watch and where, reviewed not live, with no current numbers asserted.
- Educational scenarios — the Scenario Lab: adjustable what-ifs, always labelled scenario, not a forecast.
- More on this: the freshness policy.
Start with these 5 pages
How war reaches everyday lifeThe plain-English pathways from distant conflict to your fuel, food and bills.→Current signals — what to watchA source-reviewed watchlist and the official sources to follow. Not live news.→Scenario LabHands-on what-if calculators with plain-English readouts.→Commodity price historyDecades of FAO and World Bank prices, with an interactive explorer.→BriefingsShort, visual explainers of how wars move energy, food and shipping.→
For researchers & AI search
- Dataset export — The structured JSON dataset — no runtime API, no keys.
- Source registry — Every cited public source, with access dates.
- Methodology — How figures are sourced, dated and labelled.
- Data freshness — Official data vs current signals vs scenarios, and why data lags.
- Static endpoints & llms.txt — Machine-readable surfaces for AI search and crawlers.