Methodology

Source hierarchy methodology

The preferred order of sources behind every figure: official source of record first, then intergovernmental/multilateral bodies, reputable research institutes, and primary methodology reports. News is context only; AI summaries are never a source of record; chart-only or paywalled values are used only when an accessible value is directly verifiable.

static reference · data June 5, 2026

Every figure is sourced at the highest available tier: the official source of record first, then intergovernmental/multilateral bodies, reputable research institutes, and the primary methodology report. News provides context, not a value of record. AI summaries are never a source of record, and chart-only or paywalled values are used only when an accessible value is directly verifiable — otherwise they are tracked as data needs.

  • Five preferred tiers, official source of record first.
  • News is context only; AI summaries are never a source of record.
  • Unverifiable values become data needs, not published figures.

Preferred order

Tier 1 Official source of record

The body that issues the figure — a government statistics office, central bank, finance ministry, or the issuing agency. Preferred whenever an accessible, directly-verifiable value exists.

Tier 2 Intergovernmental / multilateral

IMF, World Bank, UN agencies, OECD, IEA, and similar — used when they are the canonical compiler of a cross-country measure or when no single official source of record applies.

Tier 3 Reputable research institute

Established institutes with a published methodology (e.g. SIPRI for military expenditure). Used for measures they originate and maintain.

Tier 4 Primary methodology / report

The specific report, dataset, or fact sheet that defines and publishes the value — cited at the most primary level available, not a secondary write-up.

Tier 5 News — context only

Reputable news establishes context and timelines, but is not used as the source of record for a quantitative value when a higher tier exists.

Never a source of record

  • AI-generated summaries are never a source of record for any value.
  • Chart-only figures are not transcribed unless an accessible numeric value is directly verifiable.
  • Paywalled or otherwise source-inaccessible values are listed as data needs, not published as if verified.
  • Secondary aggregators are not cited in place of the primary issuing source.

Related

Source intake checklist: /methodology/source-intake · source quality: /source-quality · source health: /source-health · data needs: /data-needs.

Related Warconomy pages