Data series · Military spending

World military expenditure

USD billion (current) · World

What the data shows

World military spending rose for an 11th consecutive year to a SIPRI-estimated $2,887 billion in 2025 (up from $2,718 billion in 2024, itself the steepest rise since at least 1988). Warconomy reconstructs SIPRI's own 2015-2023 series to show the decade-long climb, and a continued-growth scenario brackets 2026-2027. Figures are current USD and revised in later SIPRI releases.

Covered through December 31, 2025 · reviewed July 22, 2026.

Series

1,5442,4603,37620152027
ReconstructedObservedScenario

Each class is drawn with a distinct line style and marker shape (not colour alone). Vertical whiskers show uncertainty ranges. Modeled values (reconstructed / nowcast / forecast / scenario) are estimates, never reported history — see the epistemic model.

All values

PeriodValue (USD billion (current))ClassEvidenceRange meaningSource / method
20151,670 USD billion (current)RecoCorroboratedpointSIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2024
method
20202,010 USD billion (current)RecoCorroboratedpointSIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2024
method
20222,240 USD billion (current)RecoCorroboratedpointSIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2024
method
20232,440 USD billion (current)RecoCorroboratedpointSIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2024
method
20242,718 USD billion (current)ObseVerifiedpointSIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2024
20252,887 USD billion (current)ObseVerifiedpointSIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2025
2026-27 (scenario)2,950–3,250 USD billion (current)ScenUnverifiedplausible rangeSIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2025
method
Per-point notes
  • 2015: SIPRI world total (current USD), transcribed from SIPRI's historical series.
  • 2020: SIPRI world total (current USD).
  • 2022: SIPRI world total (current USD).
  • 2023: SIPRI world total (current USD).
  • 2024: SIPRI 2024 world total (+9.4%), steepest rise since at least 1988.
  • 2025: SIPRI 2025 world total (+2.9% real); 11th consecutive year of growth.
  • 2026-27 (scenario): Conditional continued-growth path.

Source & definition notes

Definition change (January 1, 2024): Observed points 2024-2025 are directly-cited SIPRI fact-sheet figures. Both are SIPRI current-USD world totals on the same definition; the break is only in Warconomy's provenance (reconstruction vs. direct citation), not in what is measured.

Sources

Cite this page

Warconomy, “World military expenditure, reviewed as of July 22, 2026. https://warconomy.com/data-series/world-military-expenditure.

Machine-readable: the JSON dataset and source registry. More citation formats on the citation catalog. Values are source-linked and manually maintained; not real-time.

Related

All data series · this series as JSON · epistemic model · forecasts