Methodology · trust

Promotion log

An append-only, auditable record of data promotions and blocked attempts — what was promoted, from which source, with which resulting observations and dataset version, or why a candidate is still blocked. Static and manually maintained; no value is fabricated.

static reference · data June 5, 2026

Every data promotion — and every blocked attempt — is logged here with its source, resulting records, and validation. 1 promotion has been executed (the SIPRI 2025 defense deepening, v1.187.0); the remaining entries are candidates still gated on a readable source. Blocked and dry-run entries carry no promoted value, so the log can never imply data that wasn't verified.

  • 5 log entries; 1 promoted, the rest blocked pending a readable source.
  • Each entry records source, resulting observations, dataset version, and validation.
  • Machine-readable at /methodology/promotion-log/data.json (also .csv, .jsonl).

Entries

sipri-nato-series promoted

2026-06-09 · source: SIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2025 (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute) · format: press-release HTML (figures stated in text)

Added 7 additional SIPRI 2025 national-spender observations (Germany 114, India 92.1, UK 89, Ukraine 84.1, Saudi Arabia 83.2, France 68, Japan 62.2; US$bn), same basis as the existing top-3, cross-checked against the SIPRI 2025 press release (which restates US 954 / China 336 / Russia 190). Live observations 47 → 54.

Observations: obs-defense-germany-2025, obs-defense-india-2025, obs-defense-uk-2025, obs-defense-ukraine-2025, obs-defense-saudi-2025, obs-defense-france-2025, obs-defense-japan-2025 · version: 1.187.0 · validation: validate:batch + validate:snapshots + validate:release

crea-may-2026 blocked

2026-06-09 · source: CREA — Monthly analysis of Russian fossil fuel exports and sanctions (Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA)) · format: monthly-analysis HTML (headline stated in text)

BLOCKED / WAITING: CREA's May 2026 monthly analysis is not published yet (April 2026 at EUR 734 mn/day is current). Promote via /methodology/promote-data-need once the May page is live.

pink-sheet blocked

2026-06-09 · source: World Bank Commodity Markets ('Pink Sheet') (World Bank) · format: XLSX / PDF (exact cells; HTML shows only index % changes)

BLOCKED / MANUAL TRANSCRIPTION NEEDED: exact wheat/fertilizer/gas levels are XLSX/PDF-only. A human must read the cell (sheet/row/column, value, unit, month) per /methodology/source-workflows.

suez-transit blocked

2026-06-09 · source: SCA navigation reports / UNCTAD maritime publications (Suez Canal Authority / UNCTAD) · format: PDF (table/page); UNCTAD review page returns HTTP 403

BLOCKED / PDF-OR-403: UNCTAD's review page returns 403; SCA statistics are downloadable PDFs. A human must read the exact transit/tonnage/revenue figure per /methodology/source-workflows.

ofac-vessel-count blocked

2026-06-09 · source: OFAC SDN list / Treasury action releases (U.S. Treasury / OFAC) · format: binary SDN list (no cumulative total stated)

BLOCKED / MANUAL DERIVATION NEEDED: OFAC publishes per-action designations, not a cumulative shadow-fleet total. Needs an official cumulative statement, or a documented deterministic manual count (no scraping the binary list).

Refresh harness: /methodology/refresh-harness · promote: /methodology/promote-data-need · scorecard: /data-needs/scorecard · machine-readable: /methodology/promotion-log/data.json.

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