Operator · review board

Watchlist review board

A read-only review board for the current watchlist: every watch item with its status, last-reviewed and next-review dates, overdue flag, the source to check, the next action, and which public routes it appears on. Dates are read from the committed review log; nothing is fetched or invented, and this page changes no values.

Reference clock (review “now”): · 8 items · 0 overdue · data.json

Each current watch item carries a dated review log. This board shows where each one stands: its status, when it was last reviewed and when the next review is due, whether it is overdue, the authoritative source to check, the next action, and which public pages it appears on. It is read-only and deterministic — dates come from the committed review log, nothing is fetched, and no current number is asserted.

  • Overdue items are flagged and presented publicly as "Needs review", never as fresh.
  • Next action tells you exactly what to re-check and update.
  • Route impact shows the blast radius of a review on the public site.

✓ No overdue reviews at the current reference clock.

All watch items

Active Oil & the Strait of Hormuz

Reviewed June 26, 2026 · next September 24, 2026 · cadence 90d · source: U.S. EIA — petroleum & energy data

Next action: On cadence — next review by September 24, 2026.

Appears on: / · /current-events · scenario · briefing

Active Red Sea / Suez shipping

Reviewed June 26, 2026 · next September 24, 2026 · cadence 90d · source: IMF PortWatch (ports & chokepoints)

Next action: On cadence — next review by September 24, 2026.

Appears on: / · /current-events · scenario · briefing

Watch Taiwan chips & electronics

Reviewed June 26, 2026 · next October 24, 2026 · cadence 120d · source: Semiconductor Industry Association (industry statistics)

Next action: On cadence — next review by October 24, 2026.

Appears on: / · /current-events · scenario · briefing

Active China rare-earth restrictions

Reviewed June 26, 2026 · next September 24, 2026 · cadence 90d · source: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries

Next action: On cadence — next review by September 24, 2026.

Appears on: / · /current-events · scenario · briefing

Active Russia oil, refineries & fuel

Reviewed June 26, 2026 · next September 24, 2026 · cadence 90d · source: U.S. EIA / IEA Oil Market Report

Next action: On cadence — next review by September 24, 2026.

Appears on: / · /current-events · scenario · briefing

Watch Food & fertilizer pressure

Reviewed June 26, 2026 · next October 24, 2026 · cadence 120d · source: FAO GIEWS / Food Price Monitoring & Analysis

Next action: On cadence — next review by October 24, 2026.

Appears on: / · /current-events · scenario · briefing

Watch Defense spending & budgets

Reviewed June 26, 2026 · next October 24, 2026 · cadence 120d · source: SIPRI military expenditure database

Next action: On cadence — next review by October 24, 2026.

Appears on: / · /current-events · scenario · briefing

Watch Migration & labor

Reviewed June 26, 2026 · next October 24, 2026 · cadence 120d · source: UNHCR Operational Data Portal / IOM DTM

Next action: On cadence — next review by October 24, 2026.

Appears on: / · /current-events · scenario · briefing

Review packet — fill this in for every add/update

The discipline for keeping the watchlist honest. Full prose template: docs/watchlist-review-packet.md. If a fact is not source-backed, do not publish it.

  1. Item id: The watch-item id being added or updated (e.g. oil-hormuz).
  2. Source checked: Which authoritative free source you actually opened.
  3. Source URL: The deep link you reviewed.
  4. Date checked: ISO date you reviewed the source — becomes lastReviewed.
  5. What changed: Cautious note. If no new number is source-backed, say so — do not invent one.
  6. What did not change: What you confirmed is unchanged (e.g. scenario stays assumption-based).
  7. Numeric data source-backed?: Yes/No. If No, publish no number — keep it qualitative.
  8. Scenario links need update?: Whether the related scenario/briefing links still resolve and fit.
  9. Caveats: Confidence and limits — what this does not establish.
  10. Keep active / watch / quiet / retire: The editorial status after this review.
  11. Routes affected: Which public routes this item appears on (blast radius).

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