{ "name": "Warconomy — war & GDP historical comparison", "asOf": "2026-06-05", "page": "https://warconomy.com/war-and-gdp", "methodology": "https://warconomy.com/methodology/war-and-gdp", "note": "Machine-read from the key-free World Bank API (on-demand via npm run wars:gdp); a committed static snapshot, not real-time. Source-reported values; the conflict-onset year is a reference marker, not a causal attribution. No API keys, no paid APIs.", "source": { "sourceId": "world-bank-wdi", "publisher": "World Bank", "title": "World Development Indicators", "api": "https://api.worldbank.org/v2", "registryId": "worldbank" }, "dataMode": "live", "accessedDate": "2026-06-25", "lastReviewed": "2026-06-25", "caveat": "Values are source-reported World Bank annual indicators. The reference year marks the documented onset of large-scale conflict and is a chart marker only — many factors move GDP, inflation and incomes, and nothing here attributes a movement to any single event. Some countries (e.g. Syria) stop being reported after conflict begins; gaps are shown as gaps, never filled. Not a forecast, not investment advice.", "indicators": [ { "code": "NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG", "key": "gdpGrowth", "label": "GDP growth", "unit": "annual %" }, { "code": "NY.GDP.PCAP.KD", "key": "gdpPerCapita", "label": "GDP per capita", "unit": "constant 2015 US$" }, { "code": "FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG", "key": "inflation", "label": "Inflation (consumer prices)", "unit": "annual %" } ], "cases": [ { "iso3": "UKR", "name": "Ukraine", "refYear": 2022, "conflict": "Russia's full-scale invasion (2022)", "indicators": { "gdpGrowth": { "code": "NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG", "label": "GDP growth", "unit": "annual %", "points": [ { "year": 1988, "value": 2.56646326960379 }, { "year": 1989, "value": 3.87310321162344 }, { "year": 1990, "value": -6.34523512831163 }, { "year": 1991, "value": -8.6999999997216 }, { "year": 1992, "value": -9.90000000204168 }, { "year": 1993, "value": -14.1999999993643 }, { "year": 1994, "value": -22.8999999992283 }, { "year": 1995, "value": -12.2000000007385 }, { "year": 1996, "value": -10 }, { "year": 1997, "value": -2.99999999842365 }, { "year": 1998, "value": -1.90000000214164 }, { "year": 1999, "value": -0.200000000106499 }, { "year": 2000, "value": 5.90000000024899 }, { "year": 2001, "value": 8.80000000367222 }, { "year": 2002, "value": 5.33964720719075 }, { "year": 2003, "value": 9.51660986436364 }, { "year": 2004, "value": 11.7953525281136 }, { "year": 2005, "value": 3.07123039245209 }, { "year": 2006, "value": 7.57142076322967 }, { "year": 2007, "value": 8.21584445165715 }, { "year": 2008, "value": 2.24349159628288 }, { "year": 2009, "value": -15.1364679101502 }, { "year": 2010, "value": 4.09200436668087 }, { "year": 2011, "value": 5.44528081048476 }, { "year": 2012, "value": 0.152314967200653 }, { "year": 2013, "value": 0.045439094492707 }, { "year": 2014, "value": -10.0788949840953 }, { "year": 2015, "value": -9.7729872128676 }, { "year": 2016, "value": 2.44098194492067 }, { "year": 2017, "value": 2.35997228099491 }, { "year": 2018, "value": 3.48836234022659 }, { "year": 2019, "value": 3.19950386354134 }, { "year": 2020, "value": -3.75281793983162 }, { "year": 2021, "value": 3.44562065945944 }, { "year": 2022, "value": -28.7585842155085 }, { "year": 2023, "value": 5.53473354963334 }, { "year": 2024, "value": 2.9138222142611 } ], "summary": { "before3": 0.96410219438972, "refValue": -28.7585842155085, "after3": 4.22427788194722 } }, "gdpPerCapita": { "code": "NY.GDP.PCAP.KD", "label": "GDP per capita", "unit": "constant 2015 US$", "points": [ { "year": 1987, "value": 3141.6796875 }, { "year": 1988, "value": 3209.2822265625 }, { "year": 1989, "value": 3321.19091796875 }, { "year": 1990, "value": 3102.310546875 }, { "year": 1991, "value": 2826.06469726563 }, { "year": 1992, "value": 2538.85278320313 }, { "year": 1993, "value": 2177.23486328125 }, { "year": 1994, "value": 1687.48449707031 }, { "year": 1995, "value": 1493.38208007813 }, { "year": 1996, "value": 1355.57336425781 }, { "year": 1997, "value": 1326.27795410156 }, { "year": 1998, "value": 1311.59362792969 }, { "year": 1999, "value": 1319.533203125 }, { "year": 2000, "value": 1409.22265625 }, { "year": 2001, "value": 1547.2783203125 }, { "year": 2002, "value": 1644.28125 }, { "year": 2003, "value": 1814.25854492188 }, { "year": 2004, "value": 2042.44494628906 }, { "year": 2005, "value": 2122.6015625 }, { "year": 2006, "value": 2298.13232421875 }, { "year": 2007, "value": 2498.35205078125 }, { "year": 2008, "value": 2567.69409179688 }, { "year": 2009, "value": 2188.17016601563 }, { "year": 2010, "value": 2285.93383789063 }, { "year": 2011, "value": 2418.12084960938 }, { "year": 2012, "value": 2426.92944335938 }, { "year": 2013, "value": 2432.41625976563 }, { "year": 2014, "value": 2308.6435546875 }, { "year": 2015, "value": 2094.47387695313 }, { "year": 2016, "value": 2156.0830078125 }, { "year": 2017, "value": 2217.7529296875 }, { "year": 2018, "value": 2308.6669921875 }, { "year": 2019, "value": 2398.07836914063 }, { "year": 2020, "value": 2324.107421875 }, { "year": 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"value": 25.226461707384 }, { "year": 2009, "value": 15.8811924594476 }, { "year": 2010, "value": 9.37293105078978 }, { "year": 2011, "value": 7.95572466274652 }, { "year": 2012, "value": 0.568727971803862 }, { "year": 2013, "value": -0.238948626045407 }, { "year": 2014, "value": 12.0718562874251 }, { "year": 2015, "value": 48.6998646434424 }, { "year": 2016, "value": 13.9127101997797 }, { "year": 2017, "value": 14.4383227488749 }, { "year": 2018, "value": 10.9518559353178 }, { "year": 2019, "value": 7.88671745611133 }, { "year": 2020, "value": 2.73249209419427 }, { "year": 2021, "value": 9.36313917695223 }, { "year": 2022, "value": 20.1836366617478 }, { "year": 2023, "value": 12.8490222828559 }, { "year": 2024, "value": 6.50198464669254 } ], "summary": null } } }, { "iso3": "RUS", "name": "Russia", "refYear": 2022, "conflict": "Invasion of Ukraine & sanctions (2022)", "indicators": { "gdpGrowth": { "code": "NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG", "label": "GDP growth", "unit": "annual %", "points": [ { "year": 1990, "value": -2.99999564243126 }, { "year": 1991, "value": -5.04693945142463 }, { "year": 1992, "value": -14.5310737729264 }, { "year": 1993, "value": -8.66854034260423 }, { "year": 1994, "value": -12.5697559802151 }, { "year": 1995, "value": -4.1435284052602 }, { "year": 1996, "value": -3.7550694383594 }, { "year": 1997, "value": 1.3999158052963 }, { "year": 1998, "value": -5.2999616266239 }, { "year": 1999, "value": 6.39991469144101 }, { "year": 2000, "value": 10.0000668136515 }, { "year": 2001, "value": 5.10005122572568 }, { "year": 2002, "value": 4.69999190914258 }, { "year": 2003, "value": 7.29995234528189 }, { "year": 2004, "value": 7.19994786954857 }, { "year": 2005, "value": 6.39996544799469 }, { "year": 2006, "value": 8.20006825456321 }, { "year": 2007, "value": 8.49997776916511 }, { "year": 2008, "value": 5.19996926404957 }, { "year": 2009, "value": -7.79999391271275 }, { "year": 2010, "value": 4.49999999920672 }, { "year": 2011, "value": 4.30002918567749 }, { "year": 2012, "value": 4.02408615746921 }, { "year": 2013, "value": 1.75542214874298 }, { "year": 2014, "value": 0.736267221765672 }, { "year": 2015, "value": -1.97271922580408 }, { "year": 2016, "value": 0.193690071260534 }, { "year": 2017, "value": 1.82579006401834 }, { "year": 2018, "value": 2.80724541059601 }, { "year": 2019, "value": 2.19807571335009 }, { "year": 2020, "value": -2.65365450102773 }, { "year": 2021, "value": 5.86649177292595 }, { "year": 2022, "value": -1.43588213859842 }, { "year": 2023, "value": 4.08252481259281 }, { "year": 2024, "value": 4.34437475491529 } ], "summary": { "before3": 1.8036376617494363, "refValue": -1.43588213859842, "after3": 4.21344978375405 } }, "gdpPerCapita": { "code": "NY.GDP.PCAP.KD", "label": "GDP per capita", "unit": "constant 2015 US$", "points": [ { "year": 1989, "value": 8105.89501953125 }, { "year": 1990, "value": 7849.51904296875 }, { "year": 1991, "value": 7432.021484375 }, { "year": 1992, "value": 6345.912109375 }, { "year": 1993, 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2016, "value": 9269.3193359375 }, { "year": 2017, "value": 9418.9140625 }, { "year": 2018, "value": 9674.787109375 }, { "year": 2019, "value": 9882.0244140625 }, { "year": 2020, "value": 9632.3251953125 }, { "year": 2021, "value": 10231.318359375 }, { "year": 2022, "value": 10119.0625 }, { "year": 2023, "value": 10562.0263671875 }, { "year": 2024, "value": 11043.259765625 } ], "summary": null }, "inflation": { "code": "FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG", "label": "Inflation (consumer prices)", "unit": "annual %", "points": [ { "year": 1993, "value": 874.245720380188 }, { "year": 1994, "value": 307.722635553193 }, { "year": 1995, "value": 197.414268084251 }, { "year": 1996, "value": 47.7520122009939 }, { "year": 1997, "value": 14.761329268806 }, { "year": 1998, "value": 27.6856798076742 }, { "year": 1999, "value": 85.7464940960636 }, { "year": 2000, "value": 20.7987606558704 }, { "year": 2001, "value": 21.4770072117159 }, { "year": 2002, "value": 15.7887307914463 }, { "year": 2003, "value": 13.6632930228666 }, { "year": 2004, "value": 10.8886157326216 }, { "year": 2005, "value": 12.6853039507349 }, { "year": 2006, "value": 9.66865454789265 }, { "year": 2007, "value": 9.00729868861079 }, { "year": 2008, "value": 14.1107677840442 }, { "year": 2009, "value": 11.6473295764118 }, { "year": 2010, "value": 6.84939230255025 }, { "year": 2011, "value": 8.4404648593257 }, { "year": 2012, "value": 5.07474300799149 }, { "year": 2013, "value": 6.75466833903486 }, { "year": 2014, "value": 7.82016970013845 }, { "year": 2015, "value": 15.5343959935701 }, { "year": 2016, "value": 7.04243725413707 }, { "year": 2017, "value": 3.68333072334495 }, { "year": 2018, "value": 2.87831382614981 }, { "year": 2019, "value": 4.47202631837903 }, { "year": 2020, "value": 3.38219796948068 }, { "year": 2021, "value": 6.69445891957612 }, { "year": 2022, "value": 13.7436797398232 }, { "year": 2023, "value": 5.86571931748967 }, { "year": 2024, "value": 8.43486410496723 } ], "summary": null } } }, { "iso3": "IRQ", "name": "Iraq", "refYear": 2003, "conflict": "US-led invasion (2003)", "indicators": { "gdpGrowth": { "code": "NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG", "label": "GDP growth", "unit": "annual %", "points": [ { "year": 1961, "value": 7.32576806556308 }, { "year": 1962, "value": 4.60334575305544 }, { "year": 1963, "value": 2.44770235047196 }, { "year": 1964, "value": 14.8265142723807 }, { "year": 1965, "value": 10.763880165144 }, { "year": 1966, "value": 4.96287661149815 }, { "year": 1967, "value": -8.85681547611026 }, { "year": 1968, "value": 19.5121002571341 }, { "year": 1969, "value": 3.24418646059578 }, { "year": 1970, "value": 4.54435706401779 }, { "year": 1971, "value": 5.37455253303425 }, { "year": 1972, "value": 3.73530378696596 }, { "year": 1973, "value": 4.41875556494567 }, { "year": 1974, "value": 16.1133673454638 }, { "year": 1975, "value": 12.4906646751304 }, { "year": 1976, "value": 17.1751037344398 }, { "year": 1977, "value": 1.89995939450607 }, { "year": 1978, "value": 17.0569646646714 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