{ "name": "Warconomy source watch", "asOf": "2026-06-05", "note": "Detect-only watch over source-gated values. It can show that a NEW official release may be available; it never extracts or promotes a value — the number always comes from a human-reviewed, validated source packet. No network is touched at build; an optional local check (npm run operator:check:sources) can do reachability only.", "page": "https://warconomy.com/operator/source-watch", "detectOnly": true, "autoPromotes": false, "checkableCount": 5, "items": [ { "id": "crea-may-2026", "title": "CREA May 2026 Russian fossil-fuel export revenue", "topic": "source refresh · sanctions", "officialUrl": "https://energyandcleanair.org/april-2026-monthly-analysis-of-russian-fossil-fuel-exports-and-sanctions/", "expectedUnit": "EUR million/day", "lastKnownPeriod": "April 2026 (published 2026-06-01)", "cadence": "Monthly (~6 weeks in arrears)", "status": "manual-review-needed", "statusLabel": "Manual review needed", "nextManualAction": "When the May 2026 page is published, read the headline figure and send it back; Claude promotes it.", "sourcePacket": "/operator/source-packets#crea-may-2026", "claudeCanCheckAvailability": true, "needsUserSuppliedValue": true, "automationRisk": "low", "whyNotAutoPromoted": "The May 2026 analysis is not published yet; CREA publishes ~6 weeks in arrears (April 2026 is current). There is no new value to read." }, { "id": "eu-21st-package", "title": "EU 21st sanctions package — shadow-fleet vessel count", "topic": "source refresh · sanctions", "officialUrl": "https://finance.ec.europa.eu/news/eu-adopts-20th-package-sanctions-against-russia-2026-04-23_en", "expectedUnit": "Vessels (cumulative count)", "lastKnownPeriod": "20th package, 632 vessels (2026-04-23)", "cadence": "Irregular (per sanctions package)", "status": "manual-review-needed", "statusLabel": "Manual review needed", "nextManualAction": "When the next EU package is adopted, read the cumulative vessel total from the press release and send it back.", "sourcePacket": "/operator/source-packets#eu-21st-package", "claudeCanCheckAvailability": true, "needsUserSuppliedValue": true, "automationRisk": "medium", "whyNotAutoPromoted": "No 21st package is published yet; the 20th package (632 vessels, 23 April 2026) is current and was re-verified." }, { "id": "fao-next", "title": "FAO Food Price Index — next release after May 2026", "topic": "source refresh · commodities / food", "officialUrl": "https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/", "expectedUnit": "Index (2014–2016 = 100)", "lastKnownPeriod": "May 2026", "cadence": "Monthly (early the following month)", "status": "manual-review-needed", "statusLabel": "Manual review needed", "nextManualAction": "When the next FAO release publishes, copy the headline + sub-indices and send them back.", "sourcePacket": "/operator/source-packets#fao-next", "claudeCanCheckAvailability": true, "needsUserSuppliedValue": true, "automationRisk": "low", "whyNotAutoPromoted": "May 2026 is the latest published month; the next release is not out yet. The current values were re-verified and stand." }, { "id": "sipri-nato-series", "title": "Longer SIPRI / NATO defense-spending series", "topic": "data coverage · defense", "officialUrl": "https://www.sipri.org/publications/2026/sipri-fact-sheets/trends-world-military-expenditure-2025", "expectedUnit": "USD billion (state current vs constant USD basis)", "lastKnownPeriod": "SIPRI 2025 release", "cadence": "Annual (+ periodic fact sheets)", "status": "manual-review-needed", "statusLabel": "Manual review needed", "nextManualAction": "Read the SIPRI fact-sheet PDF for the wanted country-years, confirm the basis, and send them back.", "sourcePacket": "/operator/source-packets#sipri-nato-series", "claudeCanCheckAvailability": true, "needsUserSuppliedValue": true, "automationRisk": "low", "whyNotAutoPromoted": "Beyond the latest press-release subset, country-year values are in the SIPRI fact-sheet PDF; basis (current vs constant USD) must be matched exactly." }, { "id": "suez-transit", "title": "Suez / Red Sea official transit metric", "topic": "source refresh · chokepoints", "officialUrl": "https://unctad.org/topic/transport-and-trade-logistics/review-of-maritime-transport", "expectedUnit": "Transits (count) · net tonnage (million tonnes) · or revenue (USD)", "lastKnownPeriod": "UNCTAD Feb-2024 rapid assessment", "cadence": "Monthly/annual (PDF)", "status": "source-inaccessible", "statusLabel": "Source inaccessible (e.g. 403 / PDF-only)", "nextManualAction": "Download the SCA navigation report PDF, read one transit metric, and send it back with its page/table reference.", "sourcePacket": "/operator/source-packets#suez-transit", "claudeCanCheckAvailability": false, "needsUserSuppliedValue": true, "automationRisk": "medium", "whyNotAutoPromoted": "UNCTAD's page returns 403; SCA statistics are downloadable PDFs; container freight indices are paywalled. No directly-readable newer figure was obtainable." }, { "id": "pink-sheet", "title": "World Bank Pink Sheet — wheat / fertilizer / gas", "topic": "data coverage · commodities", "officialUrl": "https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets", "expectedUnit": "USD/mt (wheat, fertilizer) · USD/mmbtu (gas)", "lastKnownPeriod": "Index % changes only on HTML; levels are XLSX/PDF", "cadence": "Monthly", "status": "manual-review-needed", "statusLabel": "Manual review needed", "nextManualAction": "Open the Pink Sheet XLSX, read the wheat/fertilizer/gas cells, and send the values + cell references back.", "sourcePacket": "/operator/source-packets#pink-sheet", "claudeCanCheckAvailability": true, "needsUserSuppliedValue": true, "automationRisk": "medium", "whyNotAutoPromoted": "Exact USD levels are only in the downloadable XLSX/PDF (binary), not in readable HTML; parsing a binary file is out of scope." }, { "id": "grain-volumes", "title": "Black Sea grain export volumes", "topic": "data coverage · commodities / Ukraine", "officialUrl": "https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/en/", "expectedUnit": "Million tonnes / month", "lastKnownPeriod": "Sample row (BSGI ended 2023)", "cadence": "Monthly (no single official corridor series since 2023)", "status": "source-inaccessible", "statusLabel": "Source inaccessible (e.g. 403 / PDF-only)", "nextManualAction": "Locate an official monthly corridor-tonnage series in readable form, then send one month's value back.", "sourcePacket": "/operator/source-packets#grain-volumes", "claudeCanCheckAvailability": false, "needsUserSuppliedValue": true, "automationRisk": "high", "whyNotAutoPromoted": "No cleanly-transcribable official monthly tonnage in accessible HTML; the BSGI ended in 2023. The sample row was not promoted (no fabrication)." }, { "id": "ofac-vessel-count", "title": "OFAC cumulative shadow-fleet vessel count", "topic": "data coverage · sanctions", "officialUrl": "https://ofac.treasury.gov/sanctions-programs-and-country-information", "expectedUnit": "Vessels (cumulative count)", "lastKnownPeriod": "No official cumulative figure", "cadence": "Irregular (per-action designations; no cumulative total)", "status": "no-check-configured", "statusLabel": "No automated check configured", "nextManualAction": "Maintainer decision: accept an official cumulative statement, or define a reproducible manual-count rule. Until then, gate stands.", "sourcePacket": "/operator/source-packets#ofac-vessel-count", "claudeCanCheckAvailability": false, "needsUserSuppliedValue": true, "automationRisk": "high", "whyNotAutoPromoted": "OFAC publishes per-action designations, not a cumulative shadow-fleet total; deriving one needs parsing the binary SDN list (no scraping)." } ], "sourcePackets": "https://warconomy.com/operator/source-packets" }