{"id":"promo-sipri-2025-deepening","candidateId":"sipri-nato-series","status":"promoted","date":"2026-06-09","sourceId":"sipri-milex-2025","sourceUrl":"https://www.sipri.org/publications/2026/sipri-fact-sheets/trends-world-military-expenditure-2025","sourcePublisher":"Stockholm International Peace Research Institute","sourceTitle":"SIPRI — Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2025","sourceFormat":"press-release HTML (figures stated in text)","value":"","unit":"USD billion","period":"2025 (annual)","previousDataNeedStatus":"candidate → attempted","observationIds":"obs-defense-germany-2025; obs-defense-india-2025; obs-defense-uk-2025; obs-defense-ukraine-2025; obs-defense-saudi-2025; obs-defense-france-2025; obs-defense-japan-2025","datasetVersion":"1.187.0","reviewerNote":"Added 7 additional SIPRI 2025 national-spender observations (Germany 114, India 92.1, UK 89, Ukraine 84.1, Saudi Arabia 83.2, France 68, Japan 62.2; US$bn), same basis as the existing top-3, cross-checked against the SIPRI 2025 press release (which restates US 954 / China 336 / Russia 190). Live observations 47 → 54.","validation":"validate:batch + validate:snapshots + validate:release","routePaths":"/defense; /datasets/conflict-economic-impact/versions/1.187.0/data.json","caveats":"Annual estimate, revised in later releases; not real-time.; Levels and direction only — not a causal attribution."}
{"id":"promo-crea-may-2026","candidateId":"crea-may-2026","status":"blocked","date":"2026-06-09","sourceId":"crea-russia-fossil-tracker","sourceUrl":"https://energyandcleanair.org/april-2026-monthly-analysis-of-russian-fossil-fuel-exports-and-sanctions/","sourcePublisher":"Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA)","sourceTitle":"CREA — Monthly analysis of Russian fossil fuel exports and sanctions","sourceFormat":"monthly-analysis HTML (headline stated in text)","value":"","unit":"","period":"","previousDataNeedStatus":"attempted (waiting)","observationIds":"","datasetVersion":"","reviewerNote":"BLOCKED / WAITING: CREA's May 2026 monthly analysis is not published yet (April 2026 at EUR 734 mn/day is current). Promote via /methodology/promote-data-need once the May page is live.","validation":"none (no value added)","routePaths":"/sanctions/russia-energy-trade/economic-impact","caveats":"No value promoted; the gate stands."}
{"id":"promo-pink-sheet","candidateId":"pink-sheet","status":"blocked","date":"2026-06-09","sourceId":"","sourceUrl":"https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets","sourcePublisher":"World Bank","sourceTitle":"World Bank Commodity Markets ('Pink Sheet')","sourceFormat":"XLSX / PDF (exact cells; HTML shows only index % changes)","value":"","unit":"","period":"","previousDataNeedStatus":"attempted (blocked)","observationIds":"","datasetVersion":"","reviewerNote":"BLOCKED / MANUAL TRANSCRIPTION NEEDED: exact wheat/fertilizer/gas levels are XLSX/PDF-only. A human must read the cell (sheet/row/column, value, unit, month) per /methodology/source-workflows.","validation":"none (no value added)","routePaths":"/commodities/dashboard","caveats":"No value promoted; binary-source gate stands."}
{"id":"promo-suez-redsea","candidateId":"suez-transit","status":"blocked","date":"2026-06-09","sourceId":"","sourceUrl":"https://unctad.org/topic/transport-and-trade-logistics/review-of-maritime-transport","sourcePublisher":"Suez Canal Authority / UNCTAD","sourceTitle":"SCA navigation reports / UNCTAD maritime publications","sourceFormat":"PDF (table/page); UNCTAD review page returns HTTP 403","value":"","unit":"","period":"","previousDataNeedStatus":"attempted (blocked)","observationIds":"","datasetVersion":"","reviewerNote":"BLOCKED / PDF-OR-403: UNCTAD's review page returns 403; SCA statistics are downloadable PDFs. A human must read the exact transit/tonnage/revenue figure per /methodology/source-workflows.","validation":"none (no value added)","routePaths":"/chokepoints/red-sea-shipping/economic-impact","caveats":"No value promoted; the gate stands."}
{"id":"promo-ofac-vessels","candidateId":"ofac-vessel-count","status":"blocked","date":"2026-06-09","sourceId":"","sourceUrl":"https://ofac.treasury.gov/sanctions-programs-and-country-information","sourcePublisher":"U.S. Treasury / OFAC","sourceTitle":"OFAC SDN list / Treasury action releases","sourceFormat":"binary SDN list (no cumulative total stated)","value":"","unit":"","period":"","previousDataNeedStatus":"attempted (blocked)","observationIds":"","datasetVersion":"","reviewerNote":"BLOCKED / MANUAL DERIVATION NEEDED: OFAC publishes per-action designations, not a cumulative shadow-fleet total. Needs an official cumulative statement, or a documented deterministic manual count (no scraping the binary list).","validation":"none (no value added)","routePaths":"/sanctions/shadow-fleet-shipping-insurance/economic-impact","caveats":"No value promoted; the gate stands."}