{"slug":"economic-impact","name":"Economic impact","definition":"How an event or policy (a war, sanction, or chokepoint disruption) is associated with economic variables — prices, trade flows, revenue, costs — tracked through source-linked indicators rather than narrative.","caveat":"Associative, not a causal-attribution model.","category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#economic-impact","relatedPaths":["/economic-impact","/topics"]}
{"slug":"chokepoint","name":"Chokepoint","definition":"A narrow, hard-to-bypass passage through which a large share of global trade or energy must move, so that disruption there can ripple through prices and supply chains.","caveat":null,"category":"chokepoints","categoryLabel":"Chokepoints","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#chokepoint","relatedPaths":["/chokepoints","/chokepoints/dashboard"]}
{"slug":"shipping-chokepoint","name":"Shipping chokepoint","definition":"A maritime chokepoint — a strait or canal (e.g. Hormuz, Malacca, Suez, Panama) — whose capacity constraints affect seaborne oil, gas, and container trade.","caveat":"Warconomy is not a live vessel tracker; figures are dated snapshots.","category":"chokepoints","categoryLabel":"Chokepoints","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#shipping-chokepoint","relatedPaths":["/chokepoints/dashboard","/chokepoints/strait-of-malacca/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"sanctions","name":"Sanctions","definition":"Government restrictions on trade, finance, or individuals intended to change a target's behavior. Warconomy tracks their economic impact, not their legal detail.","caveat":"An economic-impact reference, not legal or compliance advice.","category":"sanctions","categoryLabel":"Sanctions","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#sanctions","relatedPaths":["/sanctions","/sanctions/dashboard"]}
{"slug":"secondary-sanctions","name":"Secondary sanctions","definition":"Measures targeting third-country firms that help a sanctioned party evade restrictions — extending enforcement beyond the primary target through listings and export controls.","caveat":"Not legal or compliance advice.","category":"sanctions","categoryLabel":"Sanctions","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#secondary-sanctions","relatedPaths":["/sanctions/secondary-sanctions-circumvention/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"shadow-fleet","name":"Shadow fleet","definition":"Aging tankers operating outside mainstream insurance and ownership transparency, used to move sanctioned oil (notably Russian crude) and keep exports flowing despite price caps.","caveat":null,"category":"sanctions","categoryLabel":"Sanctions","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#shadow-fleet","relatedPaths":["/sanctions/shadow-fleet-shipping-insurance/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"price-cap","name":"Price cap","definition":"A policy threshold above which coalition operators may not provide maritime services for a sanctioned commodity (e.g. seaborne Russian crude). A policy parameter, not a market price.","caveat":"Policy threshold, not a market price; differs by jurisdiction.","category":"sanctions","categoryLabel":"Sanctions","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#price-cap","relatedPaths":["/sanctions/russia-energy-trade/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"immobilized-assets","name":"Immobilized assets","definition":"Sovereign or central-bank assets that have been frozen (immobilized) but not confiscated — the principal remains, while the windfall proceeds it generates can be channelled elsewhere.","caveat":"Immobilized is distinct from confiscated; not legal advice.","category":"sanctions","categoryLabel":"Sanctions","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#immobilized-assets","relatedPaths":["/sanctions/frozen-russian-assets-ukraine-financing/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"windfall-proceeds","name":"Windfall proceeds","definition":"The extraordinary revenues generated by immobilized assets (e.g. interest), which can be used to support Ukraine financing without touching the principal.","caveat":null,"category":"sanctions","categoryLabel":"Sanctions","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#windfall-proceeds","relatedPaths":["/sanctions/frozen-russian-assets-ukraine-financing/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"live-static-data","name":"Live / static data","definition":"A genuinely sourced value, manually transcribed from a cited public source with an as-of date and a last-reviewed date. Citeable as a source-reported value, but not real-time or automatically updated.","caveat":"Manually maintained; not real-time.","category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#live-static-data","relatedPaths":["/data-coverage","/methodology"]}
{"slug":"sample-data","name":"Sample data","definition":"An illustrative placeholder used to demonstrate page structure. Always labeled in the UI and never to be cited as a current or measured value.","caveat":null,"category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#sample-data","relatedPaths":["/data-coverage","/methodology"]}
{"slug":"historical-snapshot","name":"Historical snapshot","definition":"A source-linked value tied to a specific past period (e.g. a quarter or an event date). It remains valid for that period but reads stale for current-context questions.","caveat":"Stale means review recommended, not wrong.","category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#historical-snapshot","relatedPaths":["/data-review","/methodology"]}
{"slug":"data-review","name":"Data review","definition":"Warconomy's deterministic re-check signal: each live value is classified current / due-soon / overdue / stale against its source's cadence, indicating when to re-verify it.","caveat":"A re-check signal, not a correctness claim.","category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#data-review","relatedPaths":["/data-review"]}
{"slug":"source-of-record","name":"Source of record","definition":"The authoritative publisher Warconomy treats as definitive for a value — typically an official or intergovernmental body. News summaries and inaccessible charts are not used as the source of record.","caveat":null,"category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#source-of-record","relatedPaths":["/sources","/methodology"]}
{"slug":"citation-readiness","name":"Citation readiness","definition":"A derived label (high / medium / low) describing how directly a source backs a maintained value, based on its authority, role, and deep-linking. It explains why a source is trusted, not whether a value is correct.","caveat":null,"category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#citation-readiness","relatedPaths":["/sources"]}
{"slug":"commodity-shock","name":"Commodity shock","definition":"A sharp move in a commodity price (oil, gas, food) often associated with conflict, sanctions, or supply disruption. Warconomy tracks the price benchmarks, not a causal attribution to any single event.","caveat":"Associative, not a causal-attribution model.","category":"commodities","categoryLabel":"Commodities","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#commodity-shock","relatedPaths":["/commodities/dashboard"]}
{"slug":"benchmark-price","name":"Benchmark price","definition":"A widely-referenced market price (e.g. Brent crude, Henry Hub gas) used to price a broader class of trade. Warconomy tracks benchmarks as context, not as proof of a specific cause.","caveat":"Market benchmark, not a causal attribution.","category":"commodities","categoryLabel":"Commodities","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#benchmark-price","relatedPaths":["/commodities/oil-benchmarks/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"brent-crude","name":"Brent crude","definition":"The international waterborne crude oil benchmark (priced FOB in the North Sea), the reference for much of the world's seaborne crude trade, alongside the U.S. WTI benchmark.","caveat":null,"category":"commodities","categoryLabel":"Commodities","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#brent-crude","relatedPaths":["/commodities/oil-benchmarks/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"natural-gas-benchmark","name":"Natural gas benchmark","definition":"A regional reference price for natural gas — Henry Hub (U.S.), TTF (Europe), or JKM (Asia). These can move very differently, so one gas price does not capture the global market.","caveat":null,"category":"commodities","categoryLabel":"Commodities","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#natural-gas-benchmark","relatedPaths":["/commodities/natural-gas/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"food-price-index","name":"Food price index","definition":"The FAO Food Price Index, a trade-weighted basket of five sub-indices (cereals, vegetable oils, dairy, meat, sugar). A global price benchmark, not a hunger or food-insecurity measure.","caveat":"A price benchmark, not a food-insecurity measure.","category":"commodities","categoryLabel":"Commodities","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#food-price-index","relatedPaths":["/commodities/food-prices/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"price-transmission","name":"Price transmission","definition":"How a shock in one market (e.g. a chokepoint disruption) passes through to prices elsewhere (fuel, freight, food). Warconomy describes transmission associatively, not as precise causation.","caveat":"Associative, not a causal-attribution model.","category":"commodities","categoryLabel":"Commodities","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#price-transmission","relatedPaths":["/commodities/dashboard","/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"time-series","name":"Time series","definition":"An append-only history of dated, source-linked snapshots for a recurring indicator. The current observation remains the source of record; snapshots add the trend. Not a live chart.","caveat":null,"category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#time-series","relatedPaths":["/data-maintenance","/methodology"]}
{"slug":"spot-price","name":"Spot price","definition":"The price for immediate delivery on a given date (e.g. an EIA daily Brent/WTI spot). Distinct from a monthly average; a daily spot differs from a monthly mean.","caveat":null,"category":"commodities","categoryLabel":"Commodities","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#spot-price","relatedPaths":["/commodities/oil-benchmarks/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"transit-volume","name":"Transit volume","definition":"The volume of a commodity (e.g. oil) moving through a chokepoint over a period, such as the EIA's million-barrels-per-day chokepoint flows. A source-reported estimate.","caveat":null,"category":"chokepoints","categoryLabel":"Chokepoints","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#transit-volume","relatedPaths":["/chokepoints/dashboard","/chokepoints/rankings"]}
{"slug":"petroleum-liquids","name":"Petroleum liquids","definition":"Crude oil plus other petroleum liquids (condensates, NGLs, refined products), the basis for the EIA's chokepoint oil-transit figures.","caveat":null,"category":"chokepoints","categoryLabel":"Chokepoints","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#petroleum-liquids","relatedPaths":["/chokepoints/dashboard"]}
{"slug":"fertilizer","name":"Fertilizer","definition":"Crop nutrient inputs (e.g. urea, DAP, potash) whose prices link energy and gas costs to food production. A cost channel tracked alongside the food channel.","caveat":null,"category":"commodities","categoryLabel":"Commodities","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#fertilizer","relatedPaths":["/commodities/dashboard"]}
{"slug":"cereal-price-index","name":"Cereal price index","definition":"The FAO sub-index for cereal prices (wheat, maize, rice) — the food sub-index most exposed to the Black Sea / Ukraine grain channel. A benchmark, not a food-insecurity measure.","caveat":null,"category":"commodities","categoryLabel":"Commodities","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#cereal-price-index","relatedPaths":["/commodities/food-prices/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"military-expenditure","name":"Military expenditure","definition":"A government's annual defense spending, as estimated by SIPRI. Warconomy tracks the global total, the real-terms change, top spenders, and the NATO 2%-of-GDP count.","caveat":null,"category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#military-expenditure","relatedPaths":["/dashboards/defense-spending"]}
{"slug":"reconstruction-cost","name":"Reconstruction cost","definition":"The estimated cost to rebuild after conflict (e.g. the World Bank-led RDNA for Ukraine). A periodically-revised institutional estimate, not a settled figure.","caveat":null,"category":"conflicts","categoryLabel":"Conflicts","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#reconstruction-cost","relatedPaths":["/conflicts/russia-ukraine/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"export-controls","name":"Export controls","definition":"Restrictions on exporting dual-use or battlefield goods (e.g. the Common High Priority Items list) to curb diversion to a sanctioned party. Not legal or compliance advice.","caveat":"Not legal or compliance advice.","category":"sanctions","categoryLabel":"Sanctions","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#export-controls","relatedPaths":["/sanctions/secondary-sanctions-circumvention/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"entity-list","name":"Entity listing","definition":"Naming a firm or individual under a sanctions package, restricting dealings with it — e.g. EU listings of circumvention entities. A per-package count, not a cumulative total.","caveat":"Not legal or compliance advice.","category":"sanctions","categoryLabel":"Sanctions","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#entity-list","relatedPaths":["/sanctions/secondary-sanctions-circumvention/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"anti-circumvention","name":"Anti-circumvention","definition":"Tools that extend sanctions to third-country networks re-routing restricted goods, including listing third-country entities. An enforcement channel, not legal advice.","caveat":null,"category":"sanctions","categoryLabel":"Sanctions","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#anti-circumvention","relatedPaths":["/sanctions/secondary-sanctions-circumvention/economic-impact"]}
{"slug":"source-quality","name":"Source quality","definition":"Warconomy's derived view of a source's citation-readiness — authority, role, and how directly it backs a maintained value. Surfaced on the /source-quality dashboard.","caveat":null,"category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":2,"path":"/glossary#source-quality","relatedPaths":["/source-quality","/sources"]}
{"slug":"citation-graph","name":"Citation graph","definition":"A deterministic node/edge graph (graph.json) connecting pages, observations, facts, sources, dashboards, series, and the dataset — for AI and tooling.","caveat":null,"category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#citation-graph","relatedPaths":["/datasets/conflict-economic-impact/graph.json"]}
{"slug":"llms-txt","name":"llms.txt","definition":"A plain-text guide (/llms.txt) listing Warconomy's key routes, machine-readable exports, and citation caveats for AI/search crawlers.","caveat":null,"category":"methodology","categoryLabel":"Methodology & data","linkedPageCount":1,"path":"/glossary#llms-txt","relatedPaths":["/llms.txt"]}