Economic impact

slug: economic-impact

definition: How an event or policy (a war, sanction, or chokepoint disruption) is associated with economic variables — prices, trade flows, revenue, costs — tracked through source-linked indicators rather than narrative.

caveat: Associative, not a causal-attribution model.

category: methodology

categoryLabel: Methodology & data

path: /glossary#economic-impact

relatedPaths: /economic-impact /topics


Chokepoint

slug: chokepoint

definition: A narrow, hard-to-bypass passage through which a large share of global trade or energy must move, so that disruption there can ripple through prices and supply chains.

category: chokepoints

categoryLabel: Chokepoints

path: /glossary#chokepoint


Shipping chokepoint

slug: shipping-chokepoint

definition: A maritime chokepoint — a strait or canal (e.g. Hormuz, Malacca, Suez, Panama) — whose capacity constraints affect seaborne oil, gas, and container trade.

caveat: Warconomy is not a live vessel tracker; figures are dated snapshots.

path: /glossary#shipping-chokepoint


Sanctions

slug: sanctions

definition: Government restrictions on trade, finance, or individuals intended to change a target's behavior. Warconomy tracks their economic impact, not their legal detail.

caveat: An economic-impact reference, not legal or compliance advice.

category: sanctions

categoryLabel: Sanctions

path: /glossary#sanctions


Secondary sanctions

slug: secondary-sanctions

definition: Measures targeting third-country firms that help a sanctioned party evade restrictions — extending enforcement beyond the primary target through listings and export controls.

caveat: Not legal or compliance advice.

path: /glossary#secondary-sanctions


Shadow fleet

slug: shadow-fleet

definition: Aging tankers operating outside mainstream insurance and ownership transparency, used to move sanctioned oil (notably Russian crude) and keep exports flowing despite price caps.

path: /glossary#shadow-fleet


Price cap

slug: price-cap

definition: A policy threshold above which coalition operators may not provide maritime services for a sanctioned commodity (e.g. seaborne Russian crude). A policy parameter, not a market price.

caveat: Policy threshold, not a market price; differs by jurisdiction.

path: /glossary#price-cap


Immobilized assets

slug: immobilized-assets

definition: Sovereign or central-bank assets that have been frozen (immobilized) but not confiscated — the principal remains, while the windfall proceeds it generates can be channelled elsewhere.

caveat: Immobilized is distinct from confiscated; not legal advice.

path: /glossary#immobilized-assets


Windfall proceeds

slug: windfall-proceeds

definition: The extraordinary revenues generated by immobilized assets (e.g. interest), which can be used to support Ukraine financing without touching the principal.

path: /glossary#windfall-proceeds


Live / static data

slug: live-static-data

definition: A genuinely sourced value, manually transcribed from a cited public source with an as-of date and a last-reviewed date. Citeable as a source-reported value, but not real-time or automatically updated.

caveat: Manually maintained; not real-time.

path: /glossary#live-static-data

relatedPaths: /data-coverage /methodology


Sample data

slug: sample-data

definition: An illustrative placeholder used to demonstrate page structure. Always labeled in the UI and never to be cited as a current or measured value.

path: /glossary#sample-data


Historical snapshot

slug: historical-snapshot

definition: A source-linked value tied to a specific past period (e.g. a quarter or an event date). It remains valid for that period but reads stale for current-context questions.

caveat: Stale means review recommended, not wrong.

path: /glossary#historical-snapshot

relatedPaths: /data-review /methodology


Data review

slug: data-review

definition: Warconomy's deterministic re-check signal: each live value is classified current / due-soon / overdue / stale against its source's cadence, indicating when to re-verify it.

caveat: A re-check signal, not a correctness claim.

path: /glossary#data-review


Source of record

slug: source-of-record

definition: The authoritative publisher Warconomy treats as definitive for a value — typically an official or intergovernmental body. News summaries and inaccessible charts are not used as the source of record.

path: /glossary#source-of-record

relatedPaths: /sources /methodology


Citation readiness

slug: citation-readiness

definition: A derived label (high / medium / low) describing how directly a source backs a maintained value, based on its authority, role, and deep-linking. It explains why a source is trusted, not whether a value is correct.

path: /glossary#citation-readiness


Commodity shock

slug: commodity-shock

definition: A sharp move in a commodity price (oil, gas, food) often associated with conflict, sanctions, or supply disruption. Warconomy tracks the price benchmarks, not a causal attribution to any single event.

category: commodities

categoryLabel: Commodities

path: /glossary#commodity-shock


Benchmark price

slug: benchmark-price

definition: A widely-referenced market price (e.g. Brent crude, Henry Hub gas) used to price a broader class of trade. Warconomy tracks benchmarks as context, not as proof of a specific cause.

caveat: Market benchmark, not a causal attribution.

path: /glossary#benchmark-price


Brent crude

slug: brent-crude

definition: The international waterborne crude oil benchmark (priced FOB in the North Sea), the reference for much of the world's seaborne crude trade, alongside the U.S. WTI benchmark.

path: /glossary#brent-crude


Natural gas benchmark

slug: natural-gas-benchmark

definition: A regional reference price for natural gas — Henry Hub (U.S.), TTF (Europe), or JKM (Asia). These can move very differently, so one gas price does not capture the global market.

path: /glossary#natural-gas-benchmark


Food price index

slug: food-price-index

definition: The FAO Food Price Index, a trade-weighted basket of five sub-indices (cereals, vegetable oils, dairy, meat, sugar). A global price benchmark, not a hunger or food-insecurity measure.

caveat: A price benchmark, not a food-insecurity measure.

path: /glossary#food-price-index


Price transmission

slug: price-transmission

definition: How a shock in one market (e.g. a chokepoint disruption) passes through to prices elsewhere (fuel, freight, food). Warconomy describes transmission associatively, not as precise causation.

path: /glossary#price-transmission


Time series

slug: time-series

definition: An append-only history of dated, source-linked snapshots for a recurring indicator. The current observation remains the source of record; snapshots add the trend. Not a live chart.

path: /glossary#time-series

relatedPaths: /data-maintenance /methodology


Spot price

slug: spot-price

definition: The price for immediate delivery on a given date (e.g. an EIA daily Brent/WTI spot). Distinct from a monthly average; a daily spot differs from a monthly mean.

path: /glossary#spot-price


Transit volume

slug: transit-volume

definition: The volume of a commodity (e.g. oil) moving through a chokepoint over a period, such as the EIA's million-barrels-per-day chokepoint flows. A source-reported estimate.

path: /glossary#transit-volume


Petroleum liquids

slug: petroleum-liquids

definition: Crude oil plus other petroleum liquids (condensates, NGLs, refined products), the basis for the EIA's chokepoint oil-transit figures.

path: /glossary#petroleum-liquids


Fertilizer

slug: fertilizer

definition: Crop nutrient inputs (e.g. urea, DAP, potash) whose prices link energy and gas costs to food production. A cost channel tracked alongside the food channel.

path: /glossary#fertilizer


Cereal price index

slug: cereal-price-index

definition: The FAO sub-index for cereal prices (wheat, maize, rice) — the food sub-index most exposed to the Black Sea / Ukraine grain channel. A benchmark, not a food-insecurity measure.

path: /glossary#cereal-price-index


Military expenditure

slug: military-expenditure

definition: A government's annual defense spending, as estimated by SIPRI. Warconomy tracks the global total, the real-terms change, top spenders, and the NATO 2%-of-GDP count.

path: /glossary#military-expenditure


Reconstruction cost

slug: reconstruction-cost

definition: The estimated cost to rebuild after conflict (e.g. the World Bank-led RDNA for Ukraine). A periodically-revised institutional estimate, not a settled figure.

category: conflicts

categoryLabel: Conflicts

path: /glossary#reconstruction-cost


Export controls

slug: export-controls

definition: Restrictions on exporting dual-use or battlefield goods (e.g. the Common High Priority Items list) to curb diversion to a sanctioned party. Not legal or compliance advice.

path: /glossary#export-controls


Entity listing

slug: entity-list

definition: Naming a firm or individual under a sanctions package, restricting dealings with it — e.g. EU listings of circumvention entities. A per-package count, not a cumulative total.

path: /glossary#entity-list


Anti-circumvention

slug: anti-circumvention

definition: Tools that extend sanctions to third-country networks re-routing restricted goods, including listing third-country entities. An enforcement channel, not legal advice.

path: /glossary#anti-circumvention


Source quality

slug: source-quality

definition: Warconomy's derived view of a source's citation-readiness — authority, role, and how directly it backs a maintained value. Surfaced on the /source-quality dashboard.

path: /glossary#source-quality

relatedPaths: /source-quality /sources


Citation graph

slug: citation-graph

definition: A deterministic node/edge graph (graph.json) connecting pages, observations, facts, sources, dashboards, series, and the dataset — for AI and tooling.

path: /glossary#citation-graph


llms.txt

slug: llms-txt

definition: A plain-text guide (/llms.txt) listing Warconomy's key routes, machine-readable exports, and citation caveats for AI/search crawlers.

path: /glossary#llms-txt