{
  "name": "Warconomy query manifest",
  "asOf": "2026-06-05",
  "manifestVersion": 2,
  "note": "Canonical query intents mapped to the best source-linked citation surface, with backing record ids and caveats. Partial coverage; not real-time; associative, not causal.",
  "page": "https://warconomy.com/economic-impact",
  "hub": "/economic-impact",
  "count": 25,
  "surfaceTypes": {
    "category-dashboard": 4,
    "topic": 12,
    "data-dashboard": 2,
    "coverage": 1,
    "review": 1,
    "source-registry": 2,
    "index": 2,
    "dataset": 1
  },
  "limitations": [
    "Partial coverage — Warconomy does not claim complete coverage of any topic.",
    "Not real-time; values are manually maintained, source-linked static fixtures.",
    "Linkages are associative — not a causal attribution model.",
    "Sanctions pages are an economic-impact reference, not legal or compliance advice.",
    "Chokepoint/shipping pages are not live vessel trackers; some rows are dated historical snapshots.",
    "Stale means a re-check is recommended, not that a value is wrong."
  ],
  "intents": [
    {
      "id": "sanctions-russia",
      "question": "What is the economic impact of sanctions on Russia?",
      "shortAnswer": "A cross-topic overview of energy-trade price caps, the shadow fleet, frozen assets, and circumvention enforcement.",
      "recommendedPath": "/sanctions/dashboard",
      "recommendedTitle": "Sanctions dashboard",
      "surfaceType": "category-dashboard",
      "categoryId": "sanctions",
      "metric": "13 live · 14 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/sanctions",
        "/topics"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": true,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": "best-sanctions-page"
    },
    {
      "id": "russia-ukraine-war",
      "question": "What is the economic impact of the Russia–Ukraine war?",
      "shortAnswer": "The canonical conflict page: reconstruction needs and food/commodity prices, with the energy and sanctions channels linked.",
      "recommendedPath": "/conflicts/russia-ukraine/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Russia–Ukraine economic impact",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "conflicts",
      "metric": "2 live · 6 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/conflicts/dashboard"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-ukr-reconstruction",
        "obs-ukr-food-price-index"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "fao",
        "wb-rdna4",
        "eia",
        "fao-fpi",
        "iea",
        "kse"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "chokepoints-oil-trade",
      "question": "How do shipping chokepoints affect oil prices and global trade?",
      "shortAnswer": "A cross-topic overview of the Strait of Hormuz crude benchmark and Red Sea / Suez transit disruption.",
      "recommendedPath": "/chokepoints/dashboard",
      "recommendedTitle": "Chokepoints dashboard",
      "surfaceType": "category-dashboard",
      "categoryId": "chokepoints",
      "metric": "15 live · 8 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/chokepoints",
        "/topics"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "panama-canal",
      "question": "What is the economic impact of the Panama Canal?",
      "shortAnswer": "A drought-constrained interoceanic canal: official ACP FY2024 transits/revenue plus EIA oil-transit figures.",
      "recommendedPath": "/chokepoints/panama-canal/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Panama Canal",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "chokepoints",
      "metric": "4 live · 2 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/chokepoints/dashboard",
        "/chokepoints"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-panama-transits",
        "obs-panama-revenue",
        "obs-panama-oil-2q25",
        "obs-panama-oil-1q25"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "panama-canal-authority",
        "eia-steo-chokepoints"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "malacca-oil",
      "question": "How does the Strait of Malacca affect oil trade?",
      "shortAnswer": "The world's second-busiest oil chokepoint after Hormuz; EIA oil-transit volumes to East Asia.",
      "recommendedPath": "/chokepoints/strait-of-malacca/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Strait of Malacca",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "chokepoints",
      "metric": "2 live · 1 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/chokepoints/dashboard",
        "/chokepoints"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-malacca-oil-2q25",
        "obs-malacca-oil-1q25"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "eia-steo-chokepoints"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "bab-el-mandeb",
      "question": "Why is Bab el-Mandeb important for shipping?",
      "shortAnswer": "The southern Red Sea–Suez gateway for oil and LNG; EIA flows down sharply amid Red Sea disruption.",
      "recommendedPath": "/chokepoints/bab-el-mandeb/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Bab el-Mandeb Strait",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "chokepoints",
      "metric": "2 live · 1 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/chokepoints/dashboard",
        "/chokepoints/red-sea-shipping/economic-impact"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-babelmandeb-oil-2q25",
        "obs-babelmandeb-oil-1q25"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "eia-steo-chokepoints"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "turkish-straits",
      "question": "How do the Turkish Straits affect energy trade?",
      "shortAnswer": "The Black Sea–Mediterranean route for Russian, Caspian, and Black Sea crude; EIA oil-transit volumes.",
      "recommendedPath": "/chokepoints/turkish-straits/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Turkish Straits",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "chokepoints",
      "metric": "2 live · 1 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/chokepoints/dashboard",
        "/sanctions/dashboard"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-turkish-oil-2q25",
        "obs-turkish-oil-1q25"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "eia-steo-chokepoints"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "danish-straits",
      "question": "Why do the Danish Straits matter for Russian oil?",
      "shortAnswer": "The Baltic's outlet for seaborne Russian and Baltic crude exports; EIA oil-transit volumes.",
      "recommendedPath": "/chokepoints/danish-straits/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Danish Straits",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "chokepoints",
      "metric": "2 live · 1 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/chokepoints/dashboard",
        "/sanctions/dashboard"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-danish-oil-2q25",
        "obs-danish-oil-1q25"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "eia-steo-chokepoints"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": true,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "shadow-fleet",
      "question": "What is the shadow fleet?",
      "shortAnswer": "The Russian oil shadow fleet: vessel listings/designations, insurance, and trade rerouting.",
      "recommendedPath": "/sanctions/shadow-fleet-shipping-insurance/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Shadow fleet & shipping sanctions",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "sanctions",
      "metric": "3 live · 3 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/sanctions/dashboard"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-shadow-eu-vessels",
        "obs-shadow-ofac-vessels",
        "obs-shadow-export-share"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "eu-council-shadow-fleet",
        "us-treasury-jan2025-vessels",
        "crea-shadow-tankers"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": true,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "frozen-assets",
      "question": "How are frozen Russian assets used to support Ukraine?",
      "shortAnswer": "Immobilized Russian sovereign assets, the windfall proceeds, and the G7/EU ERA loans financed from them.",
      "recommendedPath": "/sanctions/frozen-russian-assets-ukraine-financing/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Frozen assets & Ukraine financing",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "sanctions",
      "metric": "3 live · 3 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/sanctions/dashboard"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-frozen-eu-immobilized",
        "obs-frozen-g7-era",
        "obs-frozen-eu-era"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "consilium-russia-sanctions",
        "us-treasury-era",
        "ec-era-loan"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": true,
        "notCausalAttribution": false
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "secondary-sanctions",
      "question": "What are secondary sanctions and circumvention controls?",
      "shortAnswer": "Third-country enforcement: EU circumvention-entity listings and the joint Common High Priority Items export-control list.",
      "recommendedPath": "/sanctions/secondary-sanctions-circumvention/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Secondary sanctions & circumvention",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "sanctions",
      "metric": "2 live · 2 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/sanctions/dashboard"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-circumvention-eu-entities",
        "obs-circumvention-chpl"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "ec-circumvention-20th",
        "ec-chpl"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": true,
        "notCausalAttribution": false
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "military-spending",
      "question": "How much is global military spending?",
      "shortAnswer": "Source-linked SIPRI world military expenditure and the NATO 2%-of-GDP allies count.",
      "recommendedPath": "/dashboards/defense-spending",
      "recommendedTitle": "Defense spending dashboard",
      "surfaceType": "data-dashboard",
      "categoryId": null,
      "metric": "13 live · 3 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/dashboards",
        "/defense/comparison"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-defense-global",
        "obs-defense-yoy",
        "obs-defense-nato2pct",
        "obs-defense-us-2025",
        "obs-defense-china-2025",
        "obs-defense-russia-2025",
        "obs-defense-germany-2025",
        "obs-defense-india-2025",
        "obs-defense-uk-2025",
        "obs-defense-ukraine-2025",
        "obs-defense-saudi-2025",
        "obs-defense-france-2025",
        "obs-defense-japan-2025"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "sipri-milex-2025",
        "nato",
        "sipri-milex-2024"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": false
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "defense-comparison",
      "question": "How do the top military spenders compare?",
      "shortAnswer": "A like-for-like comparison of the top spenders (SIPRI 2025, US$ billion) and the world-total trend.",
      "recommendedPath": "/defense/comparison",
      "recommendedTitle": "Defense spending comparison",
      "surfaceType": "data-dashboard",
      "categoryId": null,
      "metric": "13 live · 3 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/defense",
        "/defense/rankings",
        "/dashboards/defense-spending"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-defense-global",
        "obs-defense-yoy",
        "obs-defense-nato2pct",
        "obs-defense-us-2025",
        "obs-defense-china-2025",
        "obs-defense-russia-2025",
        "obs-defense-germany-2025",
        "obs-defense-india-2025",
        "obs-defense-uk-2025",
        "obs-defense-ukraine-2025",
        "obs-defense-saudi-2025",
        "obs-defense-france-2025",
        "obs-defense-japan-2025"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "sipri-milex-2025",
        "nato",
        "sipri-milex-2024"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "conflicts-overview",
      "question": "Which conflicts does Warconomy cover, and their economic impact?",
      "shortAnswer": "A cross-topic roll-up of conflict economic-impact pages — reconstruction needs and food prices.",
      "recommendedPath": "/conflicts/dashboard",
      "recommendedTitle": "Conflicts dashboard",
      "surfaceType": "category-dashboard",
      "categoryId": "conflicts",
      "metric": "2 live · 6 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/conflicts",
        "/topics"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "oil-prices",
      "question": "How do wars and sanctions affect oil prices?",
      "shortAnswer": "Brent and WTI crude benchmarks — the main channel transmitting conflict and chokepoint risk to the economy.",
      "recommendedPath": "/commodities/oil-benchmarks/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Oil price benchmarks (Brent & WTI)",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "commodities",
      "metric": "2 live · 1 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/commodities/dashboard",
        "/chokepoints/dashboard"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-oil-brent-spot",
        "obs-oil-wti-spot"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "eia-spot-prices"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "natural-gas-prices",
      "question": "What is the economic impact of natural gas prices?",
      "shortAnswer": "U.S. Henry Hub gas benchmark, tracked alongside the energy-supply and sanctions channels.",
      "recommendedPath": "/commodities/natural-gas/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Natural gas prices",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "commodities",
      "metric": "2 live · 1 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/commodities/dashboard",
        "/sanctions/dashboard"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-gas-henryhub-may26",
        "obs-gas-henryhub-apr26"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "eia-henry-hub"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "food-prices",
      "question": "How did the Russia–Ukraine war affect food prices?",
      "shortAnswer": "The FAO Food Price Index and sub-indices; cereals and vegetable oils are most exposed to the Black Sea channel.",
      "recommendedPath": "/commodities/food-prices/economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Food commodity prices",
      "surfaceType": "topic",
      "categoryId": "commodities",
      "metric": "6 live · 1 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/commodities/dashboard",
        "/conflicts/russia-ukraine/economic-impact"
      ],
      "observationIds": [
        "obs-food-fpi",
        "obs-food-cereal",
        "obs-food-vegoil",
        "obs-food-dairy",
        "obs-food-meat",
        "obs-food-sugar"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "fao-fpi"
      ],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "commodity-shocks",
      "question": "What is the economic impact of commodity shocks?",
      "shortAnswer": "A cross-topic overview of oil, gas, and food benchmarks tracked alongside conflict and sanctions risk.",
      "recommendedPath": "/commodities/dashboard",
      "recommendedTitle": "Commodities dashboard",
      "surfaceType": "category-dashboard",
      "categoryId": "commodities",
      "metric": null,
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/commodities",
        "/economic-impact"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "live-vs-sample",
      "question": "Which Warconomy data is live vs sample?",
      "shortAnswer": "The data-coverage trust surface: the live/static vs labeled-sample split, per page and per source.",
      "recommendedPath": "/data-coverage",
      "recommendedTitle": "Data coverage",
      "surfaceType": "coverage",
      "categoryId": null,
      "metric": "54 live / 5 sample",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/data-review",
        "/sources"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": false
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "needs-review",
      "question": "Which indicators need review?",
      "shortAnswer": "The data-review queue: which source-linked values to re-check next, with recommended-review-by dates.",
      "recommendedPath": "/data-review",
      "recommendedTitle": "Data review queue",
      "surfaceType": "review",
      "categoryId": null,
      "metric": "20 high-priority",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/data-coverage"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": false
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "source-quality",
      "question": "Which sources are most citation-ready?",
      "shortAnswer": "The source-quality dashboard: citation-readiness (high/medium/low) for every source, with authority and role.",
      "recommendedPath": "/source-quality",
      "recommendedTitle": "Source quality",
      "surfaceType": "source-registry",
      "categoryId": null,
      "metric": null,
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/sources",
        "/data-coverage"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": false
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "transmission",
      "question": "How do wars, sanctions, and chokepoints connect to prices?",
      "shortAnswer": "The transmission map: how conflicts, sanctions, chokepoints, commodities, and defense channels relate.",
      "recommendedPath": "/transmission-map",
      "recommendedTitle": "Transmission map",
      "surfaceType": "index",
      "categoryId": null,
      "metric": null,
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/economic-impact",
        "/topics"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": true
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "sources",
      "question": "Where are the sources?",
      "shortAnswer": "The source registry: every public source Warconomy cites, with citation-readiness metadata and detail pages.",
      "recommendedPath": "/sources",
      "recommendedTitle": "Source registry",
      "surfaceType": "source-registry",
      "categoryId": null,
      "metric": "34 sources",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/data-coverage",
        "/methodology"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": false
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "machine-readable",
      "question": "Where is the machine-readable data?",
      "shortAnswer": "The dataset export (data.json) and the deterministic citation graph (graph.json) for AI and researchers.",
      "recommendedPath": "/datasets/conflict-economic-impact",
      "recommendedTitle": "Dataset export",
      "surfaceType": "dataset",
      "categoryId": null,
      "metric": "JSON + graph",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/datasets/conflict-economic-impact/data.json",
        "/sources"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": false
      },
      "faqId": null
    },
    {
      "id": "all-topics",
      "question": "Which war-related economic indicators are source-linked?",
      "shortAnswer": "The topics index: every canonical economic-impact page grouped by category, all source-linked.",
      "recommendedPath": "/topics",
      "recommendedTitle": "All topics",
      "surfaceType": "index",
      "categoryId": null,
      "metric": "54 live indicators",
      "relatedPaths": [
        "/dashboards",
        "/data-coverage"
      ],
      "observationIds": [],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "caveats": {
        "partialCoverage": true,
        "notRealTime": true,
        "notLegalAdvice": false,
        "notCausalAttribution": false
      },
      "faqId": null
    }
  ]
}