title: Wheat, fertilizer & natural-gas price benchmarks

category: commodities

desiredMetric: Benchmark prices for wheat, nitrogen fertilizer, and European gas

requiredSourceType: Official/intergovernmental price series (e.g. World Bank Pink Sheet, FAO)

kind: new-series

whyBlocked: Needs an openly published, non-paywalled benchmark series with a stable as-of cadence before any value can be cited.

risk: medium

coverageStatus: attempted

coverageNote: Attempted 2026-06-09 — blocked. The World Bank Commodity Markets page states only index % changes (e.g. energy index −5.4% in May), not the exact USD/mt or USD/mmbtu benchmark levels; the actual values are published only in the downloadable 'Pink Sheet' XLSX/PDF (binary, not directly-readable HTML). Adding a value would require parsing a binary file — out of bounds (no chart-only/binary-only values). Gate stands: needs the exact cell values in a directly-readable form.


title: TTF and JKM gas benchmarks

desiredMetric: European TTF and Asian JKM natural-gas benchmark levels

requiredSourceType: Official exchange/regulator data or a free, attributable index

kind: new-observation

whyBlocked: The most-cited TTF/JKM levels sit behind paywalled market data; no free source of record confirmed yet.

risk: high

coverageStatus: blocked

coverageNote: Out of scope this session: authoritative TTF/JKM levels are paywalled; no free official source of record. Stays blocked.


title: Gaza and Syria reconstruction cost estimates

category: conflicts

desiredMetric: Reconstruction/damage cost estimates

requiredSourceType: UN/World Bank rapid damage & needs assessments (RDNA-style)

kind: new-topic

whyBlocked: Awaiting an authoritative, published assessment to cite; figures must be clearly dated and attributed, not aggregated from news.

relatedPath: /reconstruction

coverageStatus: deferred

coverageNote: Deferred: new-topic work, out of this coverage-depth session's refresh scope.


title: Deeper SIPRI / NATO defense-spending coverage

category: defense

desiredMetric: More countries and a longer time series of military expenditure

requiredSourceType: SIPRI Military Expenditure Database; NATO defence-expenditure releases

whyBlocked: Expansion is straightforward but each country-year must be transcribed and dated from the official release; not yet done.

risk: low

relatedPath: /defense

coverageNote: APPLIED 2026-06-09 (v1.187.0). VERIFIED against SIPRI's 2025 press release (same release as the existing top-3; it restates US $954bn, China $336bn, Russia $190bn) and added as live country-military-expenditure observations on the same basis (levels in US$, real-terms % changes): Germany $114bn (+24%), India $92.1bn (+8.9%), UK $89.0bn (-2.0%), Ukraine $84.1bn (+20%), Saudi Arabia $83.2bn (+1.4%), France $68.0bn (+1.5%), Japan $62.2bn (+9.7%). Applied after the provenance system was reworked to derive each version's provenance from its own frozen payload, so this first record-additive release keeps prior versions' provenance available. Live observations 47 → 54.


title: Suez Canal transit refresh

category: chokepoints

desiredMetric: Latest Suez transit counts / tonnage

requiredSourceType: Suez Canal Authority / official transit statistics

kind: refresh

whyBlocked: Existing values need re-verification against the latest official release before the as-of date can move forward.

coverageNote: Attempted 2026-06-09 — blocked. UNCTAD's Review of Maritime Transport page returns HTTP 403 to direct access; the Suez Canal Authority publishes navigation statistics only via downloadable PDF reports (binary, not directly stated on an accessible HTML page); container freight indices are paywalled. No newer authoritative, directly-transcribable figure was obtainable. The existing UNCTAD Feb-2024 rapid-assessment values (-42% transits, -67% container transits) remain cited and clearly dated. Gate stands: needs a directly-readable official figure.


title: CREA Russian fossil-fuel export tracker — next period

category: sanctions

desiredMetric: Latest CREA monthly export-revenue figures

requiredSourceType: CREA (research; medium confidence)

whyBlocked: Recurring refresh: append the next published month and update the as-of/last-reviewed dates.

coverageNote: Attempted 2026-06-09: CREA's latest published monthly analysis is still April 2026 (EUR 734 mn/day, +4% m/m; the April post was published 2026-06-01). The April figure was re-verified against the official CREA page and remains correct. No next-period (May 2026) analysis is published yet — CREA publishes ~6 weeks in arrears — so there is no new value to append. WAITING FOR NEXT MONTHLY ANALYSIS: the refresh path is documented at /methodology/refresh-harness (candidate crea-may-2026) — read the headline EUR mn/day figure + m/m change once the May 2026 page is live, then follow /methodology/promote-data-need to append it (obs-sanctions-export-revenue, source crea-russia-fossil-tracker). Low risk, human-transcribable.


title: OFAC / EU sanctioned-vessel list refresh

desiredMetric: Count of designated shadow-fleet vessels

requiredSourceType: OFAC SDN / EU consolidated list (official)

whyBlocked: Designations change frequently; the count must be re-derived from the official list with a fresh accessed date.

coverageNote: Attempted 2026-06-09 — blocked / no new data. The existing EU cumulative count (632 vessels, 20th package, 23 April 2026) was re-verified against the official EU press release and remains correct (the page states '632 vessels ... now listed', +46/-11). No 21st EU package (or newer cumulative total) is evident as of 2026-06-09 — the 20th package is still the latest. OFAC publishes single-action designations, not a derivable cumulative shadow-fleet total, and deriving one requires parsing the large binary SDN list (out of bounds: no scraping). Gate stands until the next EU package.


title: Ukraine RDNA successor assessment

desiredMetric: Updated reconstruction & recovery needs

requiredSourceType: World Bank / Ukraine government RDNA series

whyBlocked: Awaiting the next published RDNA edition to supersede the current dated estimate.

coverageNote: Deferred: the current RDNA4 estimate stands until the next official RDNA edition is published; no superseding assessment to cite yet.


title: Openly-citable Red Sea freight-rate index

desiredMetric: Container freight-rate level on affected lanes

requiredSourceType: A free, attributable index (e.g. a public UNCTAD figure)

whyBlocked: Most freight indices are paywalled; replacing the current sample needs a non-paywalled source of record.

coverageNote: Out of scope this session: container freight-rate indices are paywalled; no free, attributable source of record. Stays blocked.


title: Black Sea grain export volumes

desiredMetric: Monthly grain export tonnage

requiredSourceType: UN/FAO or official corridor statistics

whyBlocked: Needs an official volume series to promote the current sample row to a live observation.

coverageNote: Attempted 2026-06-09 — blocked. The UN Black Sea Grain Initiative ended in 2023; current Ukraine grain-corridor export tonnage is published in reports/dashboards (PDF/interactive), not as a directly-stated exact monthly figure in accessible HTML from an official/intergovernmental source. No cleanly-transcribable value was obtainable, so the existing sample row is not promoted (no fabrication). Gate stands: needs an official monthly tonnage series in a directly-readable form.